Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.5% | 88.5% | +11.2 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +19 (68-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. O'Brien * | 37 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| W. Shepard * | 32 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| S. Spencer * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| A. Quinn * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -3 | - |
| D. Polee II * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Shrigley | 20 | 3-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| M. Pope | 17 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Kell | 16 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Chol | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Kelly | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Pagliuca | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Q. Cook * | 38 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| T. Jones * | 36 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Winslow * | 34 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 25 | - |
| M. Jones * | 34 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Okafor * | 33 | 12-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 20 | - |
| A. Jefferson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Allen | 9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter