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2014-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Army Black Knights Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 0.7% 99.3% -
Bradley-Terry 3.2% 96.8% -
Margin 0.2% 99.8% +33.1 (13.1 off)
Pythagorean 3.7% 96.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +20 (93-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Army Black Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Wilson * 36 6-16 2-5 5-5 4 1 1 0 2 19 7 -
T. Plomb * 30 7-16 3-6 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 19 6 -
D. Cox * 28 5-7 0-0 1-2 2 6 1 0 0 11 13 -
L. Toomey * 20 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
K. Ferguson * 15 3-4 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 0 3 8 8 -
M. Williams 24 2-5 1-3 2-4 1 0 1 0 1 7 3 -
T. Rollo 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
L. Morrison 11 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 5 2 -
M. Lenox 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 3 0 1 -
K. Jordan 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
R. Brown 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Billerman 1 0-0 0-0 2-3 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
S. Mammel 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Jones * 34 4-8 1-4 7-8 5 10 1 0 0 16 24 -
Q. Cook * 30 5-12 1-5 2-2 2 2 3 0 1 13 7 -
J. Okafor * 25 8-14 0-0 5-9 8 0 1 1 1 21 16 -
A. Jefferson * 20 3-3 0-0 1-3 12 2 0 1 3 7 16 -
J. Winslow * 12 3-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 7 4 -
R. Sulaimon 26 4-10 1-4 4-4 2 2 1 0 0 13 8 -
M. Jones 18 2-3 0-1 2-3 1 1 2 0 2 6 5 -
M. Plumlee 13 2-2 0-0 4-4 5 0 0 2 1 8 12 -
S. Ojeleye 12 0-2 0-1 2-4 4 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
G. Allen 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter