Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Virginia Tech Hokies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.9% | 4.1% | -29.0 | ✓ (24.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 94.8% | 5.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 97.3% | 2.7% | -19.8 | ✓ (14.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.3% | 3.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.3% | 3.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -5 (86-91). Ratings: 2014-15 season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyus Jones * | 45 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Quinn Cook * | 45 | 8-13 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Justise Winslow * | 39 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Jahlil Okafor * | 37 | 13-18 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 22 | - |
| Matt Jones * | 32 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Amile Jefferson | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Grayson Allen | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Marshall Plumlee | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Wilson * | 38 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Ahmed Hill * | 35 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Adam Smith * | 30 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Malik Muller * | 15 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Christian Beyer * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Justin Bibbs | 33 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Satchel Pierce | 31 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jalen Hudson | 30 | 9-20 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 8 | - |
| Will Johnston | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter