Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Virginia Tech Hokies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.3% | 23.7% | -6.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.4% | 3.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -5 (86-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Jones * | 45 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Q. Cook * | 45 | 8-13 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 18 | - |
| J. Winslow * | 39 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| J. Okafor * | 37 | 13-18 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 22 | - |
| M. Jones * | 32 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| A. Jefferson | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| G. Allen | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Wilson * | 38 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 17 | - |
| A. Hill * | 35 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| A. Smith * | 30 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| M. Muller * | 15 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| C. Beyer * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Bibbs | 33 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| S. Pierce | 31 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Hudson | 30 | 9-20 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 8 | - |
| W. Johnston | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter