Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Syracuse Orange | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.5% | 17.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.5% | 15.5% | -9.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.8% | 10.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Syracuse Orange -8 (72-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Cook * | 40 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 7-8 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Tyus Jones * | 35 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Jahlil Okafor * | 34 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Justise Winslow * | 29 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Amile Jefferson * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Matt Jones | 32 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Marshall Plumlee | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Grayson Allen | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
Syracuse Orange
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Gbinije * | 40 | 10-14 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 24 | - |
| Trevor Cooney * | 40 | 4-14 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Rakeem Christmas * | 38 | 5-17 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Tyler Roberson * | 38 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Kaleb Joseph * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Ron Patterson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B.J. Johnson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chinonso Obokoh | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter