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2015-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Syracuse Orange Spread Result
Elo 82.8% 17.2% -
Bradley-Terry 65.0% 35.0% -
Margin 80.3% 19.7% -7.7 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 73.6% 26.4% -
Efficiency 94.2% 5.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.3% 14.7% -
Log Adjusted 85.5% 14.5% -

Actual: Syracuse Orange -8 (72-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Cook * 40 4-10 2-7 7-8 3 5 2 0 1 17 16 -
T. Jones * 35 3-8 1-1 4-4 6 6 0 0 3 11 12 -
J. Okafor * 34 10-15 0-0 3-4 13 0 0 1 4 23 18 -
J. Winslow * 29 4-10 1-2 3-3 7 3 0 1 2 12 11 -
A. Jefferson * 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
M. Jones 32 3-8 2-4 0-0 2 3 2 0 2 8 5 -
M. Plumlee 8 1-1 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
G. Allen 8 1-2 1-1 2-2 1 2 1 0 0 5 7 -

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Gbinije * 40 10-14 5-8 2-3 6 4 1 1 1 27 24 -
T. Cooney * 40 4-14 3-10 0-0 5 1 5 1 3 11 6 -
R. Christmas * 38 5-17 0-0 1-3 6 5 0 5 2 11 8 -
T. Roberson * 38 8-14 0-0 3-7 10 1 2 2 0 19 20 -
K. Joseph * 29 2-7 0-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 4 0 -
R. Patterson 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Johnson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Obokoh 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter