Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.0% | 84.0% | +9.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +10 (81-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Trice * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 27 | - |
| Bryn Forbes * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 26 | - |
| Denzel Valentine * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Matt Costello * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Gavin Schilling | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| M. Clark II | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Colby Wollenman | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justise Winslow * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Quinn Cook * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 29 | - |
| Tyus Jones * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Jahlil Okafor * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 24 | - |
| Amile Jefferson * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Matt Jones | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Rasheed Sulaimon | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Marshall Plumlee | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Semi Ojeleye | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Grayson Allen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter