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2015-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 4.4% 95.6% -
Bradley-Terry 28.6% 71.4% -
Margin 7.9% 92.1% +13.5 (23.5 off)
Pythagorean 42.5% 57.5% -
Efficiency 24.6% 75.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.0% 77.0% -
Log Adjusted 23.0% 77.0% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils -10 (64-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Jackson * 39 6-11 0-2 3-3 3 5 3 0 1 15 14 -
J. Grant * 37 3-9 0-1 7-7 7 3 0 1 4 13 11 -
P. Connaughton * 36 2-6 0-2 5-6 3 2 1 0 0 9 9 -
S. Vasturia * 31 4-7 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 9 2 -
Z. Auguste * 25 4-7 0-0 0-1 6 2 1 2 2 8 10 -
B. Colson 26 5-9 0-0 7-8 5 1 1 1 1 17 15 -
V.J. Beachem 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Jones * 40 4-13 1-5 1-1 4 5 1 0 4 10 3 -
Q. Cook * 39 2-12 1-8 2-2 2 2 1 0 2 7 -2 -
J. Okafor * 35 13-18 0-0 2-8 8 0 1 2 1 28 20 -
J. Winslow * 30 5-8 0-0 1-1 11 3 1 1 3 11 16 -
M. Jones * 28 1-4 1-2 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 4 2 -
A. Jefferson 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 5 -
G. Allen 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 -3 -
M. Plumlee 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter