Model Predictions
| Model | Presbyterian Blue Hose | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 0.5% | 99.5% | +42.7 | ✓ (26.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.1% | 99.9% | +40.3 | ✓ (28.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +69 (113-44). Ratings: 2014-15 season-end ratings.
Presbyterian Blue Hose
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Downing * | 36 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -3 | - |
| Desean Murray * | 32 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Markus Terry * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| William Truss * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Janeil Jenkins * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Austin Anderson | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jake Campbell | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Davon Bell | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ed Drew | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ruben Arroyo | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jaron Withers | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Will Adams | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Stephen Osu | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Cook * | 25 | 5-11 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Jahlil Okafor * | 23 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Tyus Jones * | 23 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Justise Winslow * | 20 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Amile Jefferson * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Semi Ojeleye | 19 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Rasheed Sulaimon | 18 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Grayson Allen | 18 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Marshall Plumlee | 17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Matt Jones | 13 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Nick Pagliuca | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Sean Kelly | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter