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2015-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Syracuse Orange Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 8.3% 91.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 10.7% 89.3% - โœ“
Margin 6.1% 93.9% +15.1 โœ“ (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 39.4% 60.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 4.2% 95.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 4.1% 95.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 20.6% 79.4% - โœ“

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +19 (73-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michael Gbinije * 40 5-20 2-9 0-0 3 2 4 0 3 12 -2 -
Tyler Roberson * 38 5-9 0-0 6-7 9 2 1 0 3 16 16 -
Trevor Cooney * 32 5-16 1-8 2-2 6 0 2 0 3 13 2 -
Rakeem Christmas * 30 3-6 0-0 5-6 5 1 1 1 1 11 12 -
Kaleb Joseph * 17 0-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 2 0 -2 -
B.J. Johnson 18 0-4 0-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 0 -1 -
Ron Patterson 15 1-3 0-1 0-2 3 4 1 0 0 2 7 -
Chinonso Obokoh 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 4 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Justise Winslow * 40 10-16 3-5 0-1 9 1 2 3 2 23 20 -
Tyus Jones * 38 3-7 1-4 2-2 6 6 2 1 6 9 11 -
Quinn Cook * 34 5-15 1-8 6-6 2 4 1 0 2 17 7 -
Jahlil Okafor * 31 6-10 0-0 1-7 14 4 1 1 2 13 21 -
Matt Jones * 30 3-7 3-5 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 9 6 -
Amile Jefferson 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 2 -
Grayson Allen 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
Marshall Plumlee 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 1 -

* = starter