Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.2% | 70.8% | +4.9 | ✓ (15.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +20 (81-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Valentine * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 31 | - |
| T. Trice II * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 20 | - |
| B. Dawson * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 18 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| G. Schilling * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Forbes | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Costello | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Wollenman | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Clark II | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| K. Wetzel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Bohnhoff | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #3135046 * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Q. Cook * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Player #3135048 * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 26 | - |
| Player #3135047 * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 30 | - |
| M. Jones * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Player #3135045 | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| A. Jefferson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| N. Pagliuca | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Kelly | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter