Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.4% | 25.6% | -5.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -11 (52-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Winslow * | 38 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Q. Cook * | 35 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Okafor * | 34 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| T. Jones * | 32 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| A. Jefferson * | 31 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 17 | - |
| R. Sulaimon | 16 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Jones | 8 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Rozier * | 38 | 5-16 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| M. Harrell * | 38 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| W. Blackshear * | 34 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| M. Mathiang * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| C. Jones * | 25 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -5 | - |
| C. Onuaku | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Q. Snider | 9 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Gill | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Aaron | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Mahmoud | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Levitch | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter