Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | St. John's Red Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.1% | 23.9% | -6.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: St. John's Red Storm -9 (68-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Jones * | 39 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 10-10 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Q. Cook * | 38 | 5-13 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| J. Okafor * | 37 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 15 | - |
| A. Jefferson * | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| J. Winslow * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Jones | 24 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| R. Sulaimon | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| G. Allen | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Pointer * | 40 | 9-17 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 22 | - |
| R. Jordan * | 38 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 10 | - |
| C. Obekpa * | 36 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | - |
| P. Greene IV * | 36 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | - |
| D. Harrison * | 35 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| J. Branch | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. De La Rosa | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Alibegovic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter