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2015-03-27

Model Predictions

Model Utah Utes Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 7.1% 92.9% -
Bradley-Terry 16.9% 83.1% -
Margin 7.6% 92.4% +13.7 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 49.4% 50.6% -
Efficiency 12.4% 87.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.6% 75.4% -
Log Adjusted 24.4% 75.6% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +6 (63-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Taylor * 35 4-10 3-7 4-4 5 1 3 0 4 15 10 -
J. Loveridge * 34 2-12 1-6 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 5 -5 -
D. Wright * 33 4-13 0-1 2-2 6 2 3 0 2 10 6 -
J. Poeltl * 27 5-10 0-0 0-2 8 1 0 3 2 10 10 -
C. Reyes * 15 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 0 0 -
B. Chapman 17 3-5 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 6 2 -
I. Wright 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Tucker 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 1 -
D. Bachynski 12 3-6 0-0 5-7 4 1 0 0 0 11 10 -
K. Kuzma 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Cook * 38 2-5 0-1 7-8 4 2 0 0 2 11 10 -
T. Jones * 38 3-9 0-2 9-10 3 3 2 0 3 15 11 -
J. Winslow * 37 8-13 3-4 2-3 10 0 1 2 2 21 19 -
J. Okafor * 32 3-6 0-0 0-1 8 0 0 2 4 6 6 -
M. Jones * 21 1-4 0-2 1-2 0 0 2 0 2 3 -1 -
A. Jefferson 20 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
G. Allen 9 1-4 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -
M. Plumlee 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter