Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.9% | 90.1% | +12.1 | ✓ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +24 (77-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lacey * | 35 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| R. Turner * | 33 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| C. Barber * | 25 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Abu * | 22 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| L. Freeman * | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| B. Anya | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| C. Martin | 19 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. Martin | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| D. Lee | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Washington | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Jones * | 37 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| M. Jones * | 28 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Q. Cook * | 26 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| J. Winslow * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| J. Okafor * | 19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| G. Allen | 21 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 21 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| A. Jefferson | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| N. Pagliuca | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Kelly | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter