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2015-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 79.9% 20.1% -
Bradley-Terry 61.9% 38.1% -
Margin 76.2% 23.8% -6.4 (18.4 off)
Pythagorean 60.1% 39.9% -
Efficiency 87.8% 12.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.1% 35.9% -
Log Adjusted 63.7% 36.3% -

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +12 (87-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Cook * 37 6-13 4-7 2-2 4 2 0 1 1 18 11 -
J. Okafor * 35 8-11 0-0 7-11 12 0 3 3 1 23 29 -
J. Winslow * 30 3-13 1-6 3-5 4 1 1 0 0 10 3 -
T. Jones * 27 1-6 0-3 2-2 2 4 1 0 2 4 3 -
M. Jones * 20 1-8 1-6 2-2 2 1 1 0 2 5 -1 -
A. Jefferson 22 1-2 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 0 2 4 9 -
R. Sulaimon 22 4-12 1-5 2-2 1 3 2 0 2 11 3 -
M. Plumlee 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Allen 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Lacey * 36 8-13 5-7 0-2 4 0 1 0 1 21 12 -
R. Turner * 34 4-9 4-7 4-4 4 1 1 0 0 16 13 -
C. Barber * 28 1-3 0-1 2-3 1 4 1 0 4 4 3 -
A. Abu * 23 4-10 0-0 0-2 8 2 0 0 1 8 7 -
K. Washington * 20 4-7 1-1 0-0 2 3 0 4 0 9 11 -
B. Anya 19 6-8 0-0 2-3 6 1 0 4 1 14 16 -
C. Martin 16 2-4 0-0 2-2 3 5 0 2 2 6 10 -
L. Freeman 16 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 4 5 -
D. Lee 6 2-3 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 5 3 -
C. Martin 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter