Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 76.2% | 23.8% | -6.4 | ✗ (18.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +12 (87-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Cook * | 37 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| J. Okafor * | 35 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 29 | - |
| J. Winslow * | 30 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| T. Jones * | 27 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Jones * | 20 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| A. Jefferson | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| R. Sulaimon | 22 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Allen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lacey * | 36 | 8-13 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| R. Turner * | 34 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| C. Barber * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Abu * | 23 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| K. Washington * | 20 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| B. Anya | 19 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| C. Martin | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| L. Freeman | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Lee | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. Martin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter