Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.9% | 57.1% | +1.6 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +14 (66-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Pangos * | 40 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | - |
| G. Bell Jr. * | 36 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K. Wiltjer * | 35 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| B. Wesley * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| P. Karnowski * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Sabonis | 18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| K. Dranginis | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| E. McClellan | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Nunez | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Pagliuca | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Jones * | 40 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Q. Cook * | 40 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J. Winslow * | 32 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| J. Okafor * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| M. Jones * | 28 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| A. Jefferson | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. Allen | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter