🐻⬇️🏀

Cal Poly

Also known as: Cal Poly Mustangs
Program History

2016 Team Stats (5 games)

71.0
PPG
89.6
Opp
-18.6
Margin
41.2%
FG%
44.2%
3P%
61.9%
FT%
30.6
RPG
13.4
APG
10.8
TO
79.2
Pace

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1101 (#260) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1049 (#340) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +14.8 (#340) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.079 (#97) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -15.8 More → 0.140 (#97) AdjNet -15.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -15.6 More → 0.141 (#97) AdjNet -15.6

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-15 @ UCLA Bruins L 83 - 88
2015-12-14 @ Saint Mary's Gaels L 63 - 93
2015-12-17 @ USC Trojans L 82 - 101
2015-12-29 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 63 - 82
2016-03-10 @ UC Irvine Anteaters L 64 - 84

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
L. Meikle L. Meikle F 5 22.6 14.4 3.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.8 8.2 9.0 - - - 51.2 62.5 87.0 0.66 70.4 63.4
R. Morgan R. Morgan G 5 23.0 10.2 2.2 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.2 7.2 7.6 - - - 41.7 60.0 60.0 0.11 63.1 62.5
B. Bennett B. Bennett F 5 20.8 10.2 3.6 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 8.8 6.6 - - - 52.3 0 35.7 0.08 50.8 52.3
D. Nwaba D. Nwaba G 5 26.4 9.6 4.8 3.2 1.8 0.2 2.6 10.6 6.4 - - - 28.3 0.0 66.7 0.11 37.0 28.3
T. Sutlive T. Sutlive G 5 22.4 7.4 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.6 5.8 4.0 - - - 48.3 47.4 0.0 0.22 62.8 63.8
R. Shipley R. Shipley G 5 23.0 6.8 0.6 1.8 0.4 0.0 1.0 6.4 2.2 - - - 40.6 34.8 0.0 -0.12 51.7 53.1
J. Awich J. Awich F 5 16.0 5.0 2.8 0.8 0.0 0.8 1.2 6.6 1.6 - - - 27.3 0.0 77.8 -0.07 33.8 27.3
Z. Gordon Z. Gordon F 5 13.6 3.6 3.4 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.6 5.6 - - - 75.0 0 54.5 0.24 70.1 75.0
J. Martin J. Martin F 3 16.0 3.3 3.0 1.3 0.0 0.3 2.0 2.3 3.7 21 3.5 6.0 42.9 75.0 25.0 0.56 57.1 64.3
J. Shead J. Shead G 5 17.4 1.8 2.4 3.0 1.2 0.0 2.4 2.0 4.0 - - - 30.0 25.0 50.0 0.11 38.3 35.0
A. Abrams A. Abrams F 1 12.0 0.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
T. John T. John G 3 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
M. Patterson M. Patterson G 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG