Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Texas A&M Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.8% | 98.2% | +22.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas A&M Aggies +19 (82-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ridge Shipley * | 31 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Reese Morgan * | 28 | 5-12 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| David Nwaba * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Zach Gordon * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Luke Meikle * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Brian Bennett | 21 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Josh Martin | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Taylor Sutlive | 16 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jaylen Shead | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Joel Awich | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Trevor John | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Texas A&M Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Caruso * | 29 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Anthony Collins * | 26 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Tyler Davis * | 24 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Danuel House * | 24 | 5-14 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Jalen Jones * | 23 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| D.J. Hogg | 22 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Admon Gilder | 19 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Tonny Trocha-Morelos | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Tavario Miller | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Dobbins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter