Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.0% | 89.0% | +14.2 | ✓ (12.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.6% | 86.4% | +10.2 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +2 (74-72). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Nwaba * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Taylor Sutlive * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Joel Awich * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Ridge Shipley * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Aleks Abrams * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Reese Morgan | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Luke Meikle | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Zach Gordon | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Jaylen Shead | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Brian Bennett | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Trevor John | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerome Seagears * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Jordan Cornish * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Stephen Zimmerman * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Ike Nwamu * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Goodluck Okonoboh * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Patrick McCaw | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Dwayne Morgan | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Jalen Poyser | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter