Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.2% | 92.8% | +14.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors +13 (86-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese Morgan * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Taylor Sutlive * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 19 | - |
| David Nwaba * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Zach Gordon * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Luke Meikle * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jaylen Shead | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Joel Awich | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Brian Bennett | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Josh Martin | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roderick Bobbitt * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Aaron Valdes * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Mike Thomas * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19 | - |
| Stefan Jankovic * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 34 | - |
| Quincy Smith * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Isaac Fleming | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Stefan Jovanovic | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Sai Tummala | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Sheriff Drammeh | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter