Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.8% | 53.2% | +0.7 | ✗ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders -8 (78-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Shead * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 16 | - |
| David Nwaba * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 29 | - |
| Joel Awich * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Reese Morgan * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 31 | - |
| Josh Martin * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Brian Bennett | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Ridge Shipley | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Luke Meikle | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Taylor Sutlive | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Zach Gordon | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Bland * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Taylor Johns * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 40 | - |
| Malik Thames * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 26 | - |
| Gentrey Thomas * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Alex Larsson * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Menno Dijkstra | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Secean Johnson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Steven Jones | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Robert Boezeman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter