Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Irvine Anteaters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.6% | 93.4% | +18.3 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.8% | 89.2% | +11.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters +10 (72-62). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Nwaba * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 40 | - |
| Reese Morgan * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Josh Martin * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jaylen Shead * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Joel Awich * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Luke Meikle | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Ridge Shipley | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brian Bennett | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Zach Gordon | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Trevor John | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Taylor Sutlive | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Young * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Mike Best * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Aaron Wright * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Dominique Dunning * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Shawn Ray * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Luke Nelson | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Mamadou N'Diaye | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | - |
| Jaron Martin | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jonathan Galloway | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ioannis Dimakopoulos | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Smith | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Haroldas Saprykinas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter