Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.9% | 99.1% | +25.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +30 (93-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Awich * | 26 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| T. Sutlive * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| D. Nwaba * | 24 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| B. Bennett * | 23 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| R. Shipley * | 21 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| L. Meikle | 22 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| R. Morgan | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Shead | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Z. Gordon | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. John | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Patterson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Pineau * | 35 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| C. Hermanson * | 35 | 9-16 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 8 | - |
| E. Naar * | 31 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 19 | - |
| J. Rahon * | 29 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 19 | - |
| E. Fitzner * | 19 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| S. Gonzalez | 19 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| J. Landale | 12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| K. Clark | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Hunter | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| J. Biebel | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| F. Porter | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter