Model Predictions
| Model | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.7% | 12.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.9% | 18.1% | -8.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.3% | 9.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -15 (60-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Valdes * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 25 | - |
| Roderick Bobbitt * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Quincy Smith * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Stefan Jankovic * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 30 | - |
| Mike Thomas * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Sai Tummala | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Sheriff Drammeh | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Stefan Jovanovic | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Niko Filipovich | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Zach Buscher | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brocke Stepteau | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dyrbe Enos | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Shead * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 20 | - |
| Ridge Shipley * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Reese Morgan * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Luke Meikle * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Zach Gordon * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| David Nwaba | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Brian Bennett | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Josh Martin | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Taylor Sutlive | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Joel Awich | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Trevor John | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter