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Cal Poly Mustangs 50
@
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos 69
2016-03-05

Player statistics are only partially materialized for this game.

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Spread Result
Elo 10.0% 90.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 17.8% 82.2% - ✓
Margin 14.1% 85.9% +9.9 ✓ (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 33.0% 67.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 15.0% 85.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 14.8% 85.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 29.1% 70.9% - ✓

Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +19 (69-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.