Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Fullerton Titans | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.6% | 73.4% | +6.1 | ✗ (7.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.3% | 76.7% | +6.6 | ✗ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -1 (77-78). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Cal State Fullerton Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Coggins * | 34 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Khalil Ahmad * | 32 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Jamar Akoh * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Malcolm Brooks * | 27 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Tim Myles * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Kyle Allman Jr. | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Malcolm Henderson | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Kennedy Esume | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Lionheart Leslie | 8 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese Morgan * | 32 | 7-14 | 6-12 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Joel Awich * | 29 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Jaylen Shead * | 29 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| David Nwaba * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Brian Bennett * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Ridge Shipley | 20 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Luke Meikle | 19 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Josh Martin | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Zach Gordon | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Trevor John | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter