Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.6% | 75.4% | +6.2 | ✗ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -4 (71-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Smith * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Aaron Parks * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 24 | - |
| Micheal Warren * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Olalekan Ajayi * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Tre Hale-Edmerson * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Tavrion Dawson | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Jerron Wilbut | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Zacarry Douglas | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jason Richardson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Shead * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 20 | - |
| Joel Awich * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Josh Martin * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 25 | - |
| David Nwaba * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Reese Morgan * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 25 | - |
| Luke Meikle | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Ridge Shipley | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Taylor Sutlive | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brian Bennett | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Zach Gordon | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
* = starter