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2016-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Long Beach State Beach Cal Poly Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 80.9% 19.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 74.0% 26.0% - โœ—
Margin 68.1% 31.9% -4.2 โœ— (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 55.9% 44.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 80.2% 19.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 80.3% 19.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 58.2% 41.8% - โœ—

Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +4 (96-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Long Beach State Beach

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bibbins * 47 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 3 0 2 21 31 -
A.J. Spencer * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 9 15 -
G. Levin * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 1 1 11 19 -
N. Faust * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 1 2 15 21 -
M. Riggins * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 7 -
T. Hammonds 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 0 1 12 19 -
N. Blackwell 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 0 0 1 5 13 -
R. Prince 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 3 3 15 23 -
A. Moye 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Reese Morgan * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 14 18 -
David Nwaba * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 6 2 0 3 6 22 -
Luke Meikle * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 4 -
Ridge Shipley * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 1 0 3 5 9 -
Zach Gordon * 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 2 1 11 17 -
Taylor Sutlive 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 11 15 -
Josh Martin 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 14 17 -
Brian Bennett 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 1 0 1 0 21 35 -
Joel Awich 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 12 19 -
Jaylen Shead 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Trevor John 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter