Model Predictions
| Model | UC Irvine Anteaters | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.3% | 25.7% | -5.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -6 (72-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Nelson * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 31 | - |
| Alex Young * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Mamadou Ndiaye * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 21 | 30 | - |
| Mike Best * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Dominique Dunning * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Wright | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Jaron Martin | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Ioannis Dimakopoulos | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jonathan Galloway | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ridge Shipley * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Reese Morgan * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| David Nwaba * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Zach Gordon * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Luke Meikle * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jaylen Shead | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Taylor Sutlive | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Brian Bennett | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Josh Martin | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Trevor John | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter