🐻⬇️🏀

Belmont

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Belmont Bruins
Program History
Coach: Casey Alexander

2026 Team Stats (30 games)

84.3
PPG
73.9
Opp
+10.4
Margin
51.7%
FG%
40.9%
3P%
69.2%
FT%
35.6
RPG
18.7
APG
12.8
TO
79.3
Pace
83.6
AdjO
74.6
AdjD
#80
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1131 (#78) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1227 (#39) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1077 (#74) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +9.1 (#76) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +19.0 (#93) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.798 (#31) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +10.4 More → 0.774 (#87) NetEff +10.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +12.2 More → 0.802 (#78) AdjNet +12.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +12.2 More → 0.804 (#78) AdjNet +12.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 83.6 | AdjD 74.6 More → 0.695 (#80) AdjO 83.6 | AdjD 74.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 81.6 | AdjD 75.7 More → 0.631 (#85) AdjO 81.6 | AdjD 75.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.873 (#69) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.840 (#69) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 157 | GP 30 More → 1225 (#52) RD 157 | GP 30

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Air Force Falcons W 79 - 63
2025-11-08 vs Tennessee State Tigers W 87 - 79
2025-11-15 @ Oral Roberts Golden Eagles W 83 - 60
2025-11-19 vs Lipscomb Bisons W 75 - 68
2025-11-21 vs Fisk Bulldogs W 96 - 49
2025-11-24 vs Saint Francis Red Flash W 94 - 57
2025-11-26 @ Toledo Rockets W 87 - 72
2025-11-30 @ Charleston Cougars W 96 - 73
2025-12-03 vs Richmond Spiders L 76 - 84
2025-12-13 vs UIC Flames W 87 - 84
2025-12-16 @ Evansville Purple Aces W 83 - 78
2025-12-19 @ UC Irvine Anteaters W 84 - 58
2025-12-29 @ Indiana State Sycamores L 80 - 81
2026-01-01 vs Bradley Braves W 88 - 78
2026-01-04 vs Southern Illinois Salukis L 67 - 68
2026-01-07 @ Northern Iowa Panthers W 78 - 65
2026-01-10 @ Drake Bulldogs W 78 - 76
2026-01-13 vs Valparaiso Beacons W 78 - 74
2026-01-25 vs Illinois State Redbirds W 80 - 69
2026-01-28 @ Valparaiso Beacons W 78 - 77
2026-01-31 vs Murray State Racers W 103 - 86
2026-02-03 vs Drake Bulldogs W 103 - 90
2026-02-06 @ UIC Flames W 68 - 62
2026-02-09 @ Bradley Braves L 84 - 95
2026-02-12 vs Northern Iowa Panthers W 91 - 86
2026-02-15 @ Murray State Racers W 87 - 70
2026-02-21 vs Indiana State Sycamores W 87 - 70
2026-02-25 vs Evansville Purple Aces W 98 - 64
2026-03-01 @ Illinois State Redbirds L 74 - 81
2026-03-06 vs Drake Bulldogs L 79 - 100

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
T. Lundblade T. Lundblade G 30 34.4 16.2 2.7 1.7 0.3 0.1 0.9 11.1 8.9 229 10.0 13.5 43.4 41.3 93.4 1.52 65.2 60.2
S. Orme S. Orme F 27 25.6 12.9 4.9 1.7 0.9 0.7 1.1 9.0 11.0 196 8.9 18.4 56.4 41.2 63.6 1.49 66.5 66.0
D. Scharnowski D. Scharnowski F 28 21.6 10.8 6.3 2.7 0.7 1.2 1.9 6.4 13.5 11 0.5 1.0 69.1 20.0 44.6 -0.62 65.1 69.4
N. McClain N. McClain G 14 24.7 9.7 4.3 6.4 1.4 0.1 3.3 6.8 11.9 165 11.0 20.8 45.3 43.8 67.9 1.26 57.5 52.6
J. Jenkins J. Jenkins - 30 24.1 8.9 4.3 1.3 1.2 0.4 1.9 6.3 7.9 66 3.3 5.4 49.5 28.8 70.7 0.23 58.2 53.5
Jack Smiley Jack Smiley - 29 17.2 8.4 1.9 2.7 0.4 0.0 1.2 6.3 5.9 108 4.9 13.3 47.3 44.2 79.4 0.93 61.1 58.7
E. Dillon E. Dillon - 30 16.4 7.5 2.5 1.6 0.4 0.2 1.0 5.3 6.0 116 5.0 15.8 47.2 43.5 93.3 0.7 65.3 61.9
B. Rogers B. Rogers F 30 18.2 7.1 3.8 1.8 0.4 0.6 1.0 4.3 8.3 152 6.9 16.1 74.4 0 50.0 1.41 72.3 74.4
A. Noyes A. Noyes F 14 14.8 5.9 1.9 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.4 3.8 4.3 2 0.4 1.6 50.9 47.8 100.0 -0.09 74.0 71.7
I. West I. West G 30 17.6 3.0 2.5 1.8 0.9 0.2 1.4 2.6 4.5 24 1.0 3.0 41.6 25.9 69.2 -0.3 50.3 46.1
W. Miller W. Miller G 25 8.2 3.0 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.7 2.2 1.4 20 0.9 6.0 42.6 43.8 88.9 -0.23 61.4 55.6
C. Haynes C. Haynes - 13 5.2 1.9 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.5 6 0.6 7.6 55.6 60.0 66.7 0.03 64.7 63.9
K. Robbins K. Robbins G 14 2.8 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 1.1 -15 -1.5 -62.8 46.2 44.4 100.0 -0.18 64.8 61.5
G. Lemke G. Lemke - 12 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.0 0.4 -16 -2.0 -92.5 33.3 33.3 0 -0.25 45.8 45.8
J. Dykstra J. Dykstra G 14 3.0 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.3 -13 -1.3 -61.2 25.0 27.3 0 -0.18 37.5 37.5

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG