Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee State Tigers | Belmont Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.9% | 93.1% | +14.3 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Belmont Bruins +8 (87-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Harper II * | 34 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9 | -1.9 |
| D. Harris * | 32 | 8-21 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 9 | +6.1 |
| A. Nkrumah * | 29 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | +5.5 |
| J. Pitre * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | +9.8 |
| Ca. Williams * | 15 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | -6.6 |
| K. London | 28 | 4-16 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | -5 | -6.3 |
| A. Lorick III | 20 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -12.5 |
| J. Spikes | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -10.6 |
| J. Brooks | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4.3 |
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jenkins * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | -1.0 |
| S. Orme * | 30 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | -0.1 |
| T. Lundblade * | 30 | 4-10 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | +6.5 |
| N. McClain * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 14 | +3.2 |
| D. Scharnowski * | 20 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 18 | +3.8 |
| B. Rogers | 14 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +6.3 |
| A. Noyes | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.0 |
| I. West | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +1.0 |
| E. Dillon | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -0.8 |
| W. Miller | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +4.2 |
| J. Smiley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.8 |
* = starter