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2025-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Belmont Bruins Indiana State Sycamores Spread Result
Elo 81.3% 18.7% -
Bradley-Terry 82.9% 17.1% -
Margin 84.0% 16.0% -9.1 (10.1 off)
Pythagorean 65.3% 34.7% -
Efficiency 92.4% 7.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 86.5% 13.5% -
Log Adjusted 86.5% 13.5% -
Points Off/Def 68.2% 31.8% -

Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +1 (81-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Belmont Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Lundblade 41 8-17 7-14 3-3 3 0 0 0 0 26 12 -8.5
D. Scharnowski 38 4-9 0-0 6-8 7 2 2 5 3 14 18 -13.3
N. McClain 31 2-9 1-3 2-2 5 6 0 0 5 7 4 -5.2
B. Rogers 26 6-8 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 12 8 -3.7
I. West 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 3 2 2 0 9 +1.5
J. Jenkins 21 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 3 2 -2 -10.9
E. Dillon 20 4-6 3-5 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 11 12 -2.5
J. Smiley 18 0-8 0-5 1-2 3 2 0 0 0 1 -2 -4.7
W. Miller 9 2-2 1-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 7 6 +0.2
K. Robbins 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.1

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Wagner 39 5-11 5-8 2-2 3 3 2 0 3 17 11 +7.0
J. Van Buggenhout 35 3-6 1-3 0-0 2 5 1 0 2 7 7 +3.9
I. Scott 35 4-11 1-4 5-10 9 6 0 0 2 14 16 +8.7
X. Hall 32 2-9 1-6 4-6 2 3 2 0 1 9 6 +5.3
D. Vorst 28 5-7 0-0 2-6 3 2 1 2 1 12 12 +6.2
S. Young 24 5-8 3-5 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 13 9 +10.1
E. St. Bernard 15 2-4 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 0 2 4 3 -
H. Harding 11 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 5 5 +5.4
B. Alocen 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 +2.7

* = starter