Model Predictions
| Model | Drake Bulldogs | Belmont Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.8% | 90.2% | +12.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Belmont Bruins +13 (103-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Larson | 34 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| A. Alia | 34 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| J. Quinn | 33 | 8-18 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 6 | - |
| J. Thomas | 26 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| O. Federiko | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| I. Carr | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| E. Shetlar | 14 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| B. Appelhans | 12 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Goodbary | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lundblade | 32 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| S. Orme | 25 | 8-12 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - |
| I. West | 24 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| D. Scharnowski | 24 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 3-9 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 20 | - |
| E. Dillon | 18 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Smiley | 17 | 7-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| A. Noyes | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Jenkins | 13 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | - |
| B. Rogers | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| W. Miller | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| C. Haynes | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Dykstra | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| G. Lemke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Robbins | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter