Model Predictions
| Model | Drake Bulldogs | Belmont Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.5% | 90.5% | +12.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Belmont Bruins +13 (103-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Larson | 34 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | -5.1 |
| Andrew Alia | 34 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | +6.7 |
| Jalen Quinn | 33 | 8-18 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 6 | -6.2 |
| Jaehshon Thomas | 26 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | -5.0 |
| Okku Federiko | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +1.0 |
| Isaiah Carr | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | +6.8 |
| Eli Shetlar | 14 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | +3.7 |
| Braden Appelhans | 12 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -12.8 |
| Griffen Goodbary | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -12.1 |
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lundblade | 32 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +11.1 |
| Sam Orme | 25 | 8-12 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 18 | -0.2 |
| Drew Scharnowski | 24 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 3-9 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 20 | -3.6 |
| Isaiah West | 24 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -4.3 |
| Eoin Dillon | 18 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +6.2 |
| Jack Smiley | 17 | 7-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | +13.2 |
| Jabez Jenkins | 13 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Aidan Noyes | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +7.0 |
| Brigham Rogers | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +4.2 |
| Win Miller | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3.3 |
| Cooper Haynes | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.4 |
| Jake Dykstra | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.8 |
| Keith Robbins | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3.3 |
| Graydon Lemke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.3 |
* = starter