Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Belmont Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.8% | 92.2% | +13.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Belmont Bruins +17 (87-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Scott | 36 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 19 | - |
| B. Alocen | 30 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12 | - |
| X. Hall | 29 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| C. Wagner | 28 | 5-15 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| D. Vorst | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| S. Young | 18 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | - |
| M. Harding | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Van Buggenhout | 11 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| S. Nordheim | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| C. Bean | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| H. Harding | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Huttenlocker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lundblade | 31 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| S. Orme | 25 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| D. Scharnowski | 23 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| I. West | 20 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| E. Dillon | 20 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Jenkins | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Noyes | 17 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Smiley | 17 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| B. Rogers | 14 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| K. Robbins | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Dykstra | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| C. Haynes | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Lemke | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter