Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Belmont Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.5% | 70.5% | +4.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Belmont Bruins +11 (80-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Skunberg | 35 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| J. Kinziger | 33 | 4-14 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | - |
| C. Walker | 30 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Ty Pence | 28 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| T. Coleman | 26 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| L. Wolf | 17 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| L. Moore | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Klabo | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| B. Lieb | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lundblade | 36 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| S. Orme | 27 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J. Jenkins | 26 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| I. West | 23 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| J. Smiley | 22 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| E. Dillon | 21 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| D. Scharnowski | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| B. Rogers | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| A. Noyes | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Miller | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter