Model Predictions
| Model | Bradley Braves | Belmont Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.4% | 81.6% | +8.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Belmont Bruins +10 (88-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Johnson | 35 | 3-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | -2.7 |
| D. Burch | 31 | 8-14 | 4-8 | 5-8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 18 | -6.9 |
| T. van der Knaap | 28 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -12.2 |
| M. Wheeler | 26 | 7-11 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 11 | +7.9 |
| A. Jonovic | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | +8.4 |
| A. Huibregtse | 23 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -12.7 |
| AJ Smith | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +0.2 |
| K. Yu | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -11.1 |
| C. Thomas | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3.7 |
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lundblade | 39 | 7-11 | 7-11 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 18 | +7.5 |
| J. Jenkins | 33 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 19 | +4.8 |
| D. Scharnowski | 26 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 22 | +2.7 |
| I. West | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -3.0 |
| N. McClain | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | -1 | +5.8 |
| J. Smiley | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | +10.1 |
| B. Rogers | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1.9 |
| W. Miller | 15 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +2.3 |
| E. Dillon | 12 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -2.0 |
| K. Robbins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
* = starter