Model Predictions
| Model | Belmont Bruins | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 90.3% | 9.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.5% | 5.5% | -15.7 | ✓ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.4% | 5.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.5% | 5.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces -5 (78-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lundblade | 32 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 8-8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 14 | +12.4 |
| S. Orme | 27 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 11 | +19.0 |
| D. Scharnowski | 22 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 12 | -4.3 |
| J. Jenkins | 22 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | +9.2 |
| B. Rogers | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | +5.0 |
| J. Smiley | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | +13.0 |
| I. West | 19 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6.2 |
| N. McClain | 14 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +4.8 |
| W. Miller | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -6.6 |
| E. Dillon | 10 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -2.5 |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Casey | 32 | 5-13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | -11.6 |
| T. Hundley | 31 | 6-11 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 13 | -0.1 |
| B. Quinet | 27 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | -2.1 |
| J. Hughes | 26 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | -6.0 |
| J. Dyson-Merwe | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | +2.4 |
| L. Moeller | 19 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 13 | -12.9 |
| K. Berridge | 18 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +6.8 |
| A. Hemenway | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2.5 |
| K. Porter | 12 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -17.2 |
* = starter