Model Predictions
| Model | Belmont Bruins | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.4% | 48.6% | -0.3 | ✗ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +7 (81-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lundblade | 37 | 6-16 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 2 | - |
| S. Orme | 30 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | - |
| J. Jenkins | 30 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| J. Smiley | 23 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| E. Dillon | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| I. West | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| D. Scharnowski | 18 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| B. Rogers | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Noyes | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kinziger | 34 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| L. Wolf | 30 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| B. Skunberg | 28 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Ty Pence | 28 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| T. Coleman | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Klabo | 15 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Daugherty | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| L. Moore | 12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| C. Walker | 10 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| B. Lieb | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
* = starter