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2025-12-03

Model Predictions

Model Richmond Spiders Belmont Bruins Spread Result
Elo 11.8% 88.2% -
Bradley-Terry 17.9% 82.1% -
Margin 16.2% 83.8% +9.0 (17.0 off)
Pythagorean 38.8% 61.2% -
Efficiency 11.5% 88.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.4% 81.6% -
Log Adjusted 18.3% 81.7% -
Points Off/Def 30.2% 69.8% -

Actual: Belmont Bruins -8 (76-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Richmond Spiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Johnston 33 7-10 3-5 2-2 3 2 1 1 1 19 15 +5.9
D. Thomas 30 6-9 6-7 0-0 4 3 1 0 2 18 15 +18.1
A. Argabright 23 3-8 2-4 4-4 2 0 1 0 0 12 7 +13.8
A.J. Lopez 23 4-9 2-4 5-6 1 1 0 0 1 15 7 +5.9
C. Tanner 20 2-5 0-1 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 4 5 -2.8
M. Walz 19 1-4 1-2 0-0 6 3 0 0 1 3 7 +9.1
J. Beagle 17 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 3 2 1 0 4 10 +7.6
J. Daughtry 15 2-3 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 0 4 6 2 +0.5
A. Roumoglou 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 0 2 +3.5
J. Robinson 10 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 1 0 3 5 +3.7

Belmont Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Lundblade 37 2-12 2-12 4-5 1 1 1 0 1 10 0 -11.0
S. Orme 30 3-10 0-5 0-0 7 1 1 0 0 6 5 -20.0
N. McClain 29 7-13 3-6 2-3 4 5 2 0 1 19 16 -8.1
J. Jenkins 29 2-2 0-0 0-1 6 3 2 0 2 4 11 -3.1
B. Rogers 19 4-5 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 3 8 2 +4.5
D. Scharnowski 18 3-4 0-0 1-4 3 1 0 2 3 7 6 -12.2
J. Smiley 14 4-8 2-4 0-1 2 3 1 0 3 10 5 -6.9
E. Dillon 12 3-6 3-6 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 9 5 +2.5
I. West 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 2 -8.6
W. Miller 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 +5.1
J. Dykstra 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.0

* = starter