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2026-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Belmont Bruins Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 49.8% 50.2% -
Bradley-Terry 60.9% 39.1% -
Margin 66.3% 33.7% -3.7 (14.7 off)
Pythagorean 54.0% 46.0% -
Efficiency 49.1% 50.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.8% 29.2% -
Log Adjusted 70.9% 29.1% -
Points Off/Def 55.2% 44.8% -

Actual: Bradley Braves +11 (95-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Belmont Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Lundblade 42 4-12 3-9 5-5 2 5 0 0 2 16 9 -
D. Scharnowski 30 8-12 0-0 2-3 9 3 1 2 1 18 20 -
A. Noyes 28 5-10 4-8 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 14 8 -
I. West 23 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 5 2 1 -
E. Dillon 22 2-8 1-5 4-4 3 2 0 0 2 9 4 -
J. Smiley 21 2-4 0-2 2-2 3 3 0 0 2 6 6 -
S. Orme 19 3-7 1-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 7 5 -
J. Jenkins 19 0-4 0-2 3-6 7 0 1 0 3 3 4 -
B. Rogers 19 2-2 0-0 2-4 9 1 0 1 0 6 15 -
W. Miller 2 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. van der Knaap 39 5-8 3-4 2-2 2 0 1 1 1 15 10 -
A. Huibregtse 36 6-11 6-11 2-4 3 3 1 0 0 20 16 -
J. Johnson 36 9-18 6-10 7-7 4 7 3 0 3 31 24 -
AJ Smith 31 2-8 0-3 1-1 8 1 1 0 1 5 6 -
M. Wheeler 22 2-7 2-5 0-1 0 3 0 0 0 6 2 -
C. Thomas 17 0-1 0-0 2-3 6 1 0 0 1 2 7 -
A. Jonovic 16 2-4 0-0 2-3 3 0 1 0 1 6 5 -
K. Yu 16 2-4 0-1 2-3 5 3 0 0 1 6 9 -
D. Richardson 12 1-6 0-2 2-2 1 1 0 1 0 4 1 -

* = starter