Model Predictions
| Model | Belmont Bruins | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.4% | 19.6% | -7.8 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs -2 (76-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lundblade | 40 | 3-12 | 3-11 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | -22.8 |
| I. West | 33 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 15 | -12.4 |
| D. Scharnowski | 25 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 18 | -16.4 |
| E. Dillon | 25 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | +1.5 |
| S. Orme | 20 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | -13.6 |
| J. Smiley | 18 | 1-11 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | -22.9 |
| J. Jenkins | 17 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | -13.0 |
| B. Rogers | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -10.5 |
| W. Miller | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -10.9 |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Shetlar | 37 | 9-13 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 18 | +22.4 |
| A. Alia | 34 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | +18.0 |
| O. Larson | 29 | 6-14 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | +25.6 |
| J. Thomas | 27 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +13.9 |
| J. Quinn | 26 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 2 | +22.8 |
| I. Carr | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 18 | +18.5 |
| O. Federiko | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +18.8 |
| G. Goodbary | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -10.2 |
| B. Appelhans | 5 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -6.6 |
* = starter