Atlanta Dream
2014 Team Stats (37 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 974 (#5) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1006 (#3) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 967 (#8) | HCA +59 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +1.1 (#3) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -0.2 (#4) | HCA +2.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.573 (#3) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.535 (#3) | AdjNet +1.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.535 (#3) | AdjNet +1.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.525 (#3) | AdjO 79.7 | AdjD 78.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.496 (#4) | AdjO 78.6 | AdjD 78.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.496 (#4) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.490 (#4) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 987 (#4) | RD 100 | GP 37 |
2014 Schedule & Results
2014 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Angel McCoughtry
|
F | 34 | 31.6 | 19.2 | 5.3 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 3.5 | 16.2 | 11.2 | - | - | - | - | 42.1 | 30.7 | 82.4 | - | 51.6 | 45.3 |
E. de Souza
|
F | 37 | 29.7 | 13.6 | 8.4 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 10.8 | 13.2 | - | - | - | - | 53.5 | 0 | 69.1 | - | 56.2 | 53.5 |
Tiffany Hayes
|
G | 38 | 28.6 | 12.9 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 9.1 | 9.3 | - | - | - | - | 46.1 | 35.4 | 77.5 | - | 58.6 | 52.6 |
D. Nowitzki
|
- | 37 | 31.7 | 11.9 | 9.2 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 11.4 | 13.4 | - | - | - | - | 45.4 | 23.1 | 66.3 | - | 48.1 | 45.7 |
S. Schimmel
|
G | 38 | 21.3 | 8.1 | 2.2 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 8.0 | 4.6 | - | - | - | - | 37.2 | 34.5 | 86.2 | - | 48.8 | 46.7 |
S. Prahalis
|
G | 1 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 77.3 | 66.7 |
Jasmine Thomas
|
G | 38 | 18.1 | 5.0 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 5.7 | 2.7 | - | - | - | - | 32.6 | 26.0 | 69.2 | - | 39.7 | 35.6 |
A. Henry-Morello
|
F | 38 | 12.9 | 4.6 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 3.2 | 4.8 | - | - | - | - | 59.8 | 0 | 68.3 | - | 62.1 | 59.8 |
Billy Collins
|
- | 2 | 11.5 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | - | - | - | - | 28.6 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 51.4 | 35.7 |
C. Dumerc
|
G | 29 | 19.1 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 3.4 | 5.1 | - | - | - | - | 30.6 | 24.1 | 69.4 | - | 43.0 | 37.2 |
N. Colhado
|
C | 17 | 7.7 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 2.6 | 2.1 | - | - | - | - | 48.9 | 0 | 28.6 | - | 47.8 | 48.9 |
M. Ajavon
|
G | 27 | 8.8 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 0.9 | - | - | - | - | 28.3 | 10.0 | 72.4 | - | 38.5 | 29.2 |
J. Player
|
G | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
S. Cash
|
F | 18 | 9.4 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 2.7 | 0.6 | - | - | - | - | 24.5 | 0.0 | 47.4 | - | 28.8 | 24.5 |
A. Thompson
|
F | 22 | 8.3 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 2.8 | - | - | - | - | 35.9 | 0 | 83.3 | - | 42.9 | 35.9 |
I. Orekhova
|
G | 3 | 8.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | 11.1 | 16.7 | 0.0 | - | 15.9 | 16.7 |
C. Harberts
|
F | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2014 Shot Zones
2673 located field-goal attempts in 38 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Angel McCoughtryE. de SouzaD. NowitzkiTiffany HayesS. SchimmelJasmine Thomas
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 603-989 | 61.0 | 1206 | E. de Souza 27% (324 pts) | Angel McCoughtry 20% (246 pts) | E. de Souza 21% (82 misses) | Angel McCoughtry 20% (78 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 139-397 | 35.0 | 278 | E. de Souza 23% (64 pts) | D. Nowitzki 19% (54 pts) | E. de Souza 24% (61 misses) | Angel McCoughtry 17% (45 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 92-275 | 33.5 | 184 | D. Nowitzki 33% (60 pts) | Angel McCoughtry 21% (38 pts) | Angel McCoughtry 24% (44 misses) | D. Nowitzki 24% (44 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 59-169 | 34.9 | 118 | D. Nowitzki 54% (64 pts) | Angel McCoughtry 15% (18 pts) | D. Nowitzki 41% (45 misses) | Angel McCoughtry 16% (18 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 96-301 | 31.9 | 192 | D. Nowitzki 26% (50 pts) | Angel McCoughtry 23% (44 pts) | Angel McCoughtry 28% (57 misses) | D. Nowitzki 21% (43 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 6-17 | 35.3 | 18 | S. Schimmel 33% (6 pts) | Angel McCoughtry 17% (3 pts) | Jasmine Thomas 27% (3 misses) | Tiffany Hayes 27% (3 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 5-13 | 38.5 | 15 | Tiffany Hayes 60% (9 pts) | Angel McCoughtry 20% (3 pts) | Jasmine Thomas 62% (5 misses) | Tiffany Hayes 25% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 58-199 | 29.1 | 174 | S. Schimmel 36% (63 pts) | Tiffany Hayes 28% (48 pts) | S. Schimmel 30% (43 misses) | Tiffany Hayes 21% (30 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 37-98 | 37.8 | 111 | S. Schimmel 43% (48 pts) | Angel McCoughtry 22% (24 pts) | Angel McCoughtry 36% (22 misses) | S. Schimmel 20% (12 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 63-215 | 29.3 | 189 | S. Schimmel 30% (57 pts) | Tiffany Hayes 30% (57 pts) | S. Schimmel 34% (52 misses) | Tiffany Hayes 22% (34 misses) |