๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2014-05-24

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Chicago Sky Spread Result
Elo 40.3% 59.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.9% 70.1% - โœ“
Margin 18.5% 81.5% +8.2 โœ“ (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 38.0% 62.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 27.2% 72.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 27.1% 72.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.1% 66.9% - โœ“

Actual: Chicago Sky +14 (87-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shoni Schimmel * 36 6-13 2-5 3-3 5 8 1 0 5 17 13 -
Erika de Souza * 28 8-10 0-0 2-4 12 1 0 1 2 18 20 -
Jasmine Thomas * 23 3-7 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 6 3 -
Swin Cash * 18 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 2 0 -
Sancho Lyttle * 16 1-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 2 2 1 -
Amanda Thompson 23 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 3 3 1 6 12 -
Tiffany Hayes 18 4-8 3-5 1-2 0 0 2 0 2 12 4 -
Matee Ajavon 16 0-7 0-2 4-4 2 1 2 0 0 4 2 -
Aneika Morello 9 2-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 2 1 6 6 -
Inga Orekhova 7 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
Nadia Colhado 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Courtney Vandersloot * 32 4-7 1-1 1-1 2 11 1 2 4 10 15 -
Elena Delle Donne * 31 8-15 2-5 9-9 1 0 2 1 1 27 15 -
Jessica Breland * 27 2-8 0-0 1-4 7 0 2 2 2 5 6 -
Sasha Goodlett * 24 3-5 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 2 2 7 7 -
Tamera Young * 23 1-5 0-0 1-1 4 2 2 0 1 3 5 -
Allie Quigley 19 5-11 3-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 13 5 -
Courtney Clements 18 3-6 2-3 2-2 6 1 2 0 0 10 13 -
Markeisha Gatling 15 4-5 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 1 0 10 11 -
Jamierra Faulkner 7 0-2 0-0 2-2 2 3 0 0 3 2 2 -
Gennifer Brandon 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

* = starter