๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2014-06-18

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 30.1% 69.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 50.9% 49.1% - โœ—
Margin 51.3% 48.7% -0.3 โœ— (10.3 off)
Pythagorean 53.8% 46.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 62.1% 37.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 62.1% 37.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 51.1% 48.9% - โœ—

Actual: Atlanta Dream +10 (83-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ivory Latta * 32 3-10 3-6 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 9 2 -
Emma Meesseman * 32 6-13 0-0 3-3 5 3 0 0 2 15 8 -
Bria Hartley * 30 6-12 4-6 0-0 1 4 4 0 5 16 8 -
Kia Vaughn * 21 4-7 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 8 6 -
Monique Currie * 19 2-9 1-3 0-1 2 4 3 0 3 5 2 -
Kara Lawson 21 2-8 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 4 0 -
Stefanie Dolson 20 4-5 0-0 0-0 8 6 1 0 1 8 17 -
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Tianna Hawkins 7 3-6 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 2 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Angel McCoughtry * 36 10-22 0-2 7-7 6 4 3 0 5 27 13 -
Sancho Lyttle * 31 3-9 0-0 3-5 10 2 2 0 1 9 13 -
Tiffany Hayes * 28 4-8 1-2 2-2 5 0 1 0 2 11 7 -
Erika de Souza * 24 4-9 0-0 2-2 8 2 1 5 2 10 15 -
Jasmine Thomas * 21 1-4 0-0 3-4 0 3 0 0 0 5 4 -
Aneika Morello 17 4-6 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 8 7 -
Celine Dumerc 16 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 2 5 -
Shoni Schimmel 13 2-5 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
Swin Cash 6 2-4 0-1 1-1 0 1 0 0 0 5 2 -
Amanda Thompson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter