Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.6% | 87.4% | +10.7 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +4 (79-75). Ratings: 2015 season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danielle Robinson * | 34 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Kayla McBride * | 22 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Jia Perkins * | 17 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Danielle Adams | 24 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Shenise Johnson | 24 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Shameka Christon | 15 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kayla Alexander | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Davellyn Whyte | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel McCoughtry * | 34 | 8-14 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 33 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 25 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes * | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas * | 20 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Shoni Schimmel | 30 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Matee Ajavon | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Swin Cash | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Aneika Morello | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter