Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.7% | 32.3% | -4.1 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces -2 (79-81). Ratings: 2015 season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sancho Lyttle * | 33 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes * | 29 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry * | 28 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Celine Dumerc | 22 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Shoni Schimmel | 16 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Aneika Morello | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Nadia Colhado | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Matee Ajavon | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danielle Robinson * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Becky Hammon * | 20 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kayla McBride * | 14 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Danielle Adams | 23 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Shenise Johnson | 23 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 16 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Shameka Christon | 14 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Kayla Alexander | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter