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2014-07-31

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Dallas Wings Spread Result
Elo 62.3% 37.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 41.3% 58.7% - โœ—
Margin 35.9% 64.1% +3.2 โœ— (13.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.0% 55.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 47.9% 52.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 48.1% 51.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 43.4% 56.6% - โœ—

Actual: Dallas Wings -10 (75-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tiffany Hayes * 36 9-12 3-4 6-8 3 1 2 0 2 27 19 -
Erika de Souza * 33 8-12 0-0 2-3 12 1 1 0 3 18 17 -
Angel McCoughtry * 31 8-13 1-2 4-5 2 2 1 1 11 21 3 -
Sancho Lyttle * 30 5-9 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 2 1 10 11 -
Celine Dumerc * 29 0-3 0-2 2-2 2 8 2 0 4 2 7 -
Jasmine Thomas 12 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 -
Shoni Schimmel 10 1-5 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 -1 -
Aneika Morello 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 2 3 -
Amanda Thompson 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Nadia Colhado 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -

Dallas Wings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Skylar Diggins-Smith * 38 4-16 0-1 6-7 4 4 1 0 6 14 1 -
Glory Johnson * 36 5-12 0-0 4-4 9 2 1 0 1 14 13 -
Odyssey Sims * 36 8-21 2-6 4-4 1 1 2 0 6 22 -1 -
Roneeka Hodges * 23 1-6 0-4 2-2 5 1 2 0 0 4 6 -
Courtney Paris * 23 4-7 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 0 2 8 9 -
Jordan Hooper 16 2-5 2-3 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 6 7 -
Vicki Baugh 9 1-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 1 0 3 6 -
Tiffany Jackson 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 4 2 -
Angel Goodrich 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 0 2 -
Jennifer Lacy 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter