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2014-07-12

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 32.8% 67.2% -
Bradley-Terry 49.7% 50.3% -
Margin 49.4% 50.6% +0.1 (19.1 off)
Pythagorean 53.5% 46.5% -

Actual: Indiana Fever -19 (74-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. McCoughtry 33 4-13 0-2 3-4 4 4 4 1 4 11 7 -
E. de Souza 33 6-13 0-0 1-2 12 1 1 1 1 13 14 -
S. Lyttle 29 4-7 0-1 1-2 6 3 0 0 0 9 11 -
T. Hayes 26 7-11 2-2 5-6 2 1 0 1 0 21 14 -
C. Dumerc 20 3-5 2-3 1-2 4 6 3 0 0 9 17 -
J. Thomas 19 4-9 3-5 0-0 4 4 1 0 0 11 11 -
D. Milton-Jones 18 1-4 1-2 4-4 1 0 1 3 2 7 6 -
S. Schimmel 12 3-6 2-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 10 7 -
A. Henry-Morello 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 2 4 -
M. Ajavon 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Larkins 36 3-8 0-0 4-6 11 2 1 0 4 10 12 -
T. Catchings 32 4-12 2-6 4-4 7 4 4 1 4 14 14 -
S. Zellous 31 5-10 0-3 1-2 7 3 0 2 2 11 11 -
M. Coleman 29 2-6 2-4 2-4 0 0 0 1 0 8 3 -
B. January 23 4-6 1-1 4-4 1 2 0 0 0 13 10 -
K. Christmas-Kelly 15 1-4 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
L. Clarendon 15 3-8 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 7 1 -
N. Howard 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Carter 5 1-2 0-1 4-5 1 0 0 0 2 6 3 -
L. Kizer 4 0-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
M. Lucas 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter