Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.4% | 50.6% | +0.1 | ✗ (19.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -19 (74-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. McCoughtry | 33 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| E. de Souza | 33 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 29 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| T. Hayes | 26 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - |
| C. Dumerc | 20 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 17 | - |
| J. Thomas | 19 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 12 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Larkins | 36 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 12 | - |
| T. Catchings | 32 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | - |
| S. Zellous | 31 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| M. Coleman | 29 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| B. January | 23 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 15 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| N. Howard | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Carter | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| L. Kizer | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Lucas | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter