Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.0% | 71.0% | +4.9 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +12 (83-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ogwumike | 32 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| K. Douglas | 31 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| A. Bentley | 28 | 8-16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | - |
| A. Thomas | 22 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 22 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | - |
| K. Griffin | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Faris | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| K. Bone | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K. Cain | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Butler | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lyttle | 32 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| E. de Souza | 30 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 29 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 15 | - |
| T. Hayes | 26 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| J. Thomas | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| C. Dumerc | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| S. Cash | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter