Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.2% | 70.8% | +4.9 | ✗ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -7 (70-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Larkins | 34 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 | - |
| S. Zellous | 32 | 3-14 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| B. January | 32 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 28 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 9-11 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 21 | - |
| M. Coleman | 25 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| S. Carter | 15 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| N. Howard | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| M. Lucas | 6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| L. Kizer | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| K. Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hayes | 34 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 34 | 6-18 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 8 | - |
| E. de Souza | 30 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 24 | - |
| C. Dumerc | 21 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| A. Thompson | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 16 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J. Thomas | 15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 13 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -5 | - |
| S. Cash | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter