Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.2% | 46.8% | -0.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -7 (70-77). Ratings: 2015 season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erlana Larkins * | 33 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Briann January * | 32 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous * | 31 | 3-14 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Marissa Coleman * | 25 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Natasha Howard * | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Karima Christmas-Kelly | 28 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 9-11 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Sydney Carter | 15 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Layshia Clarendon | 7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Maggie Lucas | 6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Lynetta Kizer | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Krystal Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel McCoughtry * | 34 | 6-18 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes * | 34 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 29 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 24 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas * | 15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Celine Dumerc | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Amanda Thompson | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Shoni Schimmel | 13 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Aneika Morello | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Swin Cash | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Matee Ajavon | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter