Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.0% | 66.0% | +7.3 | ✗ (15.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -8 (68-76). Ratings: 2015 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel McCoughtry * | 34 | 8-18 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 33 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes * | 33 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Celine Dumerc * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Shoni Schimmel | 13 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Aneika Morello | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Swin Cash | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Matee Ajavon | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erlana Larkins * | 30 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 19 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous * | 29 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Briann January * | 26 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Marissa Coleman * | 24 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Krystal Thomas * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Karima Christmas-Kelly | 21 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Maggie Lucas | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Lynetta Kizer | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Layshia Clarendon | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Sydney Carter | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter