Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.4% | 50.6% | +0.1 | ✗ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -8 (68-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. McCoughtry | 35 | 8-18 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 33 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| T. Hayes | 33 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| E. de Souza | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 14 | - |
| C. Dumerc | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Thomas | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 13 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Cash | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Larkins | 31 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 19 | - |
| S. Zellous | 30 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 6 | - |
| B. January | 27 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| N. Howard | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| M. Coleman | 24 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 21 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| L. Kizer | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Thomas | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Lucas | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| S. Carter | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter